Toluca vs Leon: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 17Kick-off on April 26, 2026 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca won 4-1 on April 26, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′S. CórdovaToluca
- 45′D. CambindoLeon
- 59′F. ArceToluca
- 73′J. DíazToluca
- 76′N. CastroToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Leon have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(home) | 4-2 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Club America(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Leon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Leon 2-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Leon 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Leon | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Leon sit 14th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Toluca | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 11 | Leon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 14 | Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy