Leon vs Toluca: result 2-4 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio León (Nou Camp), León de los Aldamas
Full time
What was the result of Leon vs Toluca?
Toluca won 2-4 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 5′J. AnguloToluca
- 35′J. RodríguezLeon (pen.)
- 48′PaulinhoToluca
- 58′A. VegaToluca
- 69′J. AlvaradoLeon
- 76′PaulinhoToluca
Official lineup for Leon vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Leon
4-2-3-1- 18R. Funes Mori
- 29J. Alvarado
- 10J. Rodríguez
- 16J. Cortizo
- 6F. Beltran Cruz
- 20R. Echeverría
- 15Ó. Villa
- 25P. Bellón
- 2V. Gauthier
- 28D. Ramírez
- 12Ó. Jiménez
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 10J. Angulo
- 9A. Vega
- 11Helinho
- 8N. Castro
- 5F. Romero
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 19S. Simón
- 22L. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leon have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Toluca have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-5 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Campeones Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 6-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leon win, 3 draws, 2 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | Leon 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Leon | Liga MX |
| Jul 27, 2022 | Leon 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Leon score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.4 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Toluca | 2.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leon sit 5th in Liga MX (18 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 5 | Leon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 18 |
A question about Leon vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy