Toluca vs Leon: result 2-0 and analysis
Leagues CupSemi-finalsKick-off on September 3, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Leon?
Toluca won 2-0 on September 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 41′F. PereiraToluca
- 69′F. ViñasToluca
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Toluca win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 2-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Toluca vs Leon
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
5-4-1- 16F. Viñas
- 9A. Vega
- 8N. Castro
- 5F. Romero
- 11Helinho
- 20J. Gallardo
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 17B. García
- 1H. González
Leon
4-1-4-1- 27D. Cambindo
- 13D. Arcila
- 6F. Beltran Cruz
- 20R. Echeverría
- 16J. Cortizo
- 29J. Rodríguez
- 5S. Vegas
- 3Juan José Guevara Possu
- 14J. Romaña
- 4B. Colula
- 23Ó. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Leon have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Austin(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Club Queretaro(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Atlante FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monterrey(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Necaxa(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 1 Leon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Toluca 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Leon 2-4 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Leon 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-2 Leon | Liga MX |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Leon | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Leon score 2.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Leon | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Toluca vs Leon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy