Toluca vs Monterrey: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca won 1-0 on August 31, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′J. DomínguezToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Monterrey have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Nashville SC(home) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Toluca 2-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Toluca 1-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy