Toluca vs Monterrey: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 5Kick-off on August 31, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca won 1-0 on August 31, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 26′J. DomínguezToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Monterrey
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 9Pedro Raul
- 16J. Meneses
- 10J. Angulo
- 7J. Domínguez
- 23C. Baeza
- 14M. Ruiz
- 11M. Araújo
- 27A. Mora
- 26A. Mosquera
- 17B. García
- 1Tiago Volpi
Monterrey
4-4-2- 207A. Ávila
- 10Sergio Canales
- 19J. Cortizo
- 27L. Romo
- 5O. Govea
- 11M. Meza
- 17J. Gallardo
- 20S. Vegas
- 4V. Guzmán
- 33S. Medina
- 1E. Andrada
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Monterrey have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Minnesota United FC(home) | 2-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 1, 2023 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 4-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 2023 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Philadelphia Union(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 16, 2023 | Nashville SC(home) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 3-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 4 Monterrey wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Toluca 2-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Sep 23, 2021 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Toluca 1-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Monterrey sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Toluca vs Monterrey?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy