Toluca vs Monterrey: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 14Kick-off on April 11, 2021 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Monterrey won 1-2 on April 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 51′S. VegasMonterrey
- 60′M. MezaMonterrey
- 71′J. Torres NiloToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Monterrey have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2021 | Leon(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Puebla(home) | 4-4 | Liga MX |
| Mar 14, 2021 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2021 | Atlético Pantoja(away) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 4, 2021 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 14, 2021 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Leon(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Club Queretaro(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2020 | Monterrey 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Toluca 2-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2019 | Monterrey 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2019 | Toluca 5-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2018 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 11, 2018 | Toluca 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.5 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy