Toluca vs Necaxa: result 5-2 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 11Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 5-2 on March 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′D. CambindoNecaxa
- 44′J. ParadelaNecaxa
- 45′PaulinhoToluca
- 53′A. BriseñoToluca
- 56′A. VegaToluca
- 76′A. VegaToluca
- 84′A. VegaToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Necaxa
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
- 12I. Violante
- 26Paulinho
- 31R. Morales
- 7J. Domínguez
- 9A. Vega
- 14M. Ruiz
- 16H. Herrera
- 3A. Briseño
- 4B. Méndez
- 6F. Pereira
- 18Pau López
Necaxa
- 7K. Rosero
- 27D. Cambindo
- 8A. Palavecino
- 10J. Paradela
- 13A. Andrade
- 14D. de Buen
- 21J. Rojas
- 29J. Rodríguez
- 4A. Peña
- 26E. Lara
- 22E. Unsain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Necaxa have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 5-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Leon(away) | 3-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Club America(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 0 Necaxa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Toluca 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 2.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Necaxa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Necaxa sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Toluca vs Necaxa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy