Toluca vs Necaxa: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 13, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 3-1 on July 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′P. PérezNecaxa
- 27′M. RuizToluca
- 41′J. AnguloToluca
- 90′HelinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Necaxa have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 23, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 12, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-5 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Toluca 5-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Toluca 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 2.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Necaxa | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy