Toluca vs Necaxa: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 1Kick-off on July 13, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 3-1 on July 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 21′P. PérezNecaxa
- 27′M. RuizToluca
- 41′J. AnguloToluca
- 90′HelinhoToluca
Official lineup for Toluca vs Necaxa
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 7J. Domínguez
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 13Luan
- 2D. Barbosa
- 22L. García
Necaxa
3-4-3- 15P. Pérez
- 27D. Cambindo
- 30R. Monreal
- 16C. Calderón
- 8A. Palavecino
- 29J. Rodríguez
- 7K. Rosero
- 6J. Alcántar
- 14D. de Buen
- 4A. Peña
- 22E. Unsain
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Necaxa have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 23, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| May 11, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 12, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-5 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 2 draws, 0 Necaxa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Toluca 5-2 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Necaxa 3-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 2, 2023 | Toluca 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Toluca 3-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 2.0 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Necaxa | 2.0 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Necaxa sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Toluca vs Necaxa?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy