Toluca vs Necaxa: result 3-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 17Kick-off on April 30, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 3-0 on April 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′L. FernándezToluca (pen.)
- 52′C. GonzálezToluca
- 71′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Necaxa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Atlas(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Santos Laguna(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Necaxa | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy