Toluca vs Necaxa: result 3-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 17Kick-off on April 30, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 3-0 on April 30, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 31′L. FernándezToluca (pen.)
- 52′C. GonzálezToluca
- 71′Tiago VolpiToluca (pen.)
Official lineup for Toluca vs Necaxa
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 32C. González
- 10L. Fernández
- 18F. Navarro
- 16J. Meneses
- 14M. Ruiz
- 23C. Baeza
- 11M. Araújo
- 4V. Huerta
- 26A. Mosquera
- 5C. Orrantía
- 1Tiago Volpi
Necaxa
4-4-2- 30R. Monreal
- 7Édgar Méndez
- 27H. Jurado
- 16J. Esquivel
- 25V. Poggi
- 18B. Garnica
- 3A. Oliveros
- 14F. Formiliano
- 4A. Peña
- 2J. Van Rankin
- 28R. Ramírez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Necaxa have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2023 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 16, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 2, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2023 | Atlas(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Santos Laguna(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 1 Necaxa win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2022 | Toluca 1-0 Necaxa | Copa por México |
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Necaxa | 0.9 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Necaxa sit 17th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 9 |
A question about Toluca vs Necaxa?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy