Toluca vs Necaxa: result 1-0 and analysis
Copa por MéxicoGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on December 27, 2022 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Necaxa?
Toluca won 1-0 on December 27, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 58′S. SaucedoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Necaxa have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Copa por México |
| Dec 20, 2022 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Copa por México |
| Dec 14, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 1-1 | Copa por México |
| Oct 31, 2022 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Oct 28, 2022 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-5 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2022 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Dec 16, 2022 | Club America(away) | 3-3 | Copa por México |
| Dec 13, 2022 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-0 | Copa por México |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Atlas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2022 | Necaxa 1-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | Necaxa 0-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2021 | Toluca 1-1 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Toluca 2-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Necaxa 3-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Toluca 2-3 Necaxa | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Necaxa | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy