Toluca vs Puebla: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on November 1, 2023 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Puebla won 0-1 on November 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 78′G. MartínezPuebla (pen.)
Official lineup for Toluca vs Puebla
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 31R. Morales
- 11M. Araújo
- 16J. Meneses
- 7J. Domínguez
- 5T. Belmonte
- 14M. Ruiz
- 204E. López
- 4V. Huerta
- 26A. Mosquera
- 17B. García
- 1Tiago Volpi
Puebla
4-4-2- 28M. Barragán
- 15G. Martínez
- 7D. Álvarez
- 5D. de Buen
- 6P. González
- 20K. Velasco
- 26B. Angulo
- 21G. Silva
- 3S. Olmedo
- 2Gustavo Ferrareis
- 30J. Rodríguez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Puebla have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Leon(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Club Queretaro(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2023 | CF Pachuca(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Necaxa(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2023 | Monterrey(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Atlas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 3 draws, 1 Puebla win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2023 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Puebla 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Toluca 4-4 Puebla | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Puebla | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and Puebla sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 9 | Puebla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
A question about Toluca vs Puebla?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy