Toluca vs Puebla: result 1-1 and analysis
Friendlies ClubsClub Friendlies 3Kick-off on June 24, 2023 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca and Puebla drew 1-1 on June 24, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Puebla have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2023 | Club America(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2023 | Tigres UANL(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Necaxa(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 23, 2023 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 29, 2023 | Club Tijuana(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Necaxa(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Toluca(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Puebla 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 3, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Puebla 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Toluca 4-4 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Puebla 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Puebla | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy