Toluca vs Puebla: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 13Kick-off on October 6, 2019 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca and Puebla drew 1-1 on October 6, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 49′A. AcostaPuebla
- 85′J. MaidanaToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Puebla have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2019 | Veracruz(home) | 2-0 | Copa MX |
| Sep 30, 2019 | Veracruz(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2019 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Atlas(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Monarcas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2019 | Monarcas(home) | 0-1 | Copa MX |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Leon(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2019 | Monterrey(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Puebla 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2018 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Toluca 1-3 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 0.9 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Puebla | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Puebla sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy