Toluca vs Puebla: result 2-0 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 2Kick-off on January 13, 2019 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca won 2-0 on January 13, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 43′S. GarcíaToluca
- 81′A. CaneloToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Puebla have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | Monarcas(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 3, 2018 | Club America(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Club America(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Lobos Buap(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2018 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Club Tijuana(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2018 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-6 | Liga MX |
| Nov 3, 2018 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 29, 2018 | Leon(away) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2018 | Puebla 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2018 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 27, 2017 | Toluca 2-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Feb 26, 2017 | Toluca 1-3 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Sep 11, 2016 | Puebla 0-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Puebla | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Puebla sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy