Toluca vs Puebla: result 4-4 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 12Kick-off on March 21, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Puebla?
Toluca and Puebla drew 4-4 on March 21, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 33′M. EstradaToluca
- 54′A. CaneloToluca (pen.)
- 58′S. OrmeñoPuebla (pen.)
- 61′J. SegoviaPuebla
- 78′Diego RigonatoToluca
- 87′D. AguilarPuebla
- 88′M. EstradaToluca
- 90′D. ÁlvarezPuebla
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Puebla have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Tigres UANL(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Atlas(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Cruz Azul(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2021 | Atlas(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Leon(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Necaxa(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Club Queretaro(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Puebla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2020 | Puebla 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 22, 2020 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Toluca 1-1 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jan 13, 2019 | Toluca 2-0 Puebla | Liga MX |
| Jul 28, 2018 | Puebla 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 15, 2018 | Puebla 2-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Puebla score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.5 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Puebla | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Puebla sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Puebla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 11 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy