Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 2Kick-off on July 22, 2026 at 03:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 1-2 on July 22, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 14′J. DíazToluca
- 57′V. ArteagaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
- 63′S. CórdovaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Toluca win at 59%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 29J. Díaz
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 11Helinho
- 24F. Arce
- 7V. Guzmán
- 17B. García
- 13Luan
- 4B. Méndez
- 2D. Barbosa
- 1H. González
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-3-3- 31R. Morales
- 23Juninho
- 21U. Antuna
- 18V. Arteaga
- 45P. Vite
- 7R. López
- 77Á. Angulo
- 5Rubén Duarte
- 6Nathan Silva
- 2P. Bennevendo
- 1K. Navas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| May 31, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| May 10, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| May 7, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| May 4, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| May 25, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| May 22, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 18, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| May 15, 2026 | CF Pachuca(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca wins, 4 draws, 0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Toluca 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Jan 30, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Toluca 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Mar 18, 2024 | Toluca 3-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Liga MX |
| Aug 19, 2023 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Toluca on Mar 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 5th in Liga MX (23 points from 14 matches) and U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 23 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 17 |
A question about Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy