Tongeren vs Wilrijk: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 12Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)SportOase Eburons Dome, Tongeren
The Footlab model makes Wilrijk the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Tongeren. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tongeren vs Wilrijk?
Wilrijk starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,711).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tongeren have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Wilrijk have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-10 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Eendracht Termien(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Aug 10, 2025 | RESC Houffaloise(home) | 6-1 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Zonhoven United(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Beerschot VA(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Tongeren score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Wilrijk score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tongeren | 1.5 | 2.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Wilrijk | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tongeren | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 41 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tongeren vs Wilrijk?
- The Footlab model makes Wilrijk the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Tongeren.
- Where and when is Tongeren vs Wilrijk played?
- Tongeren vs Wilrijk is played on November 14, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at SportOase Eburons Dome, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.