Wellen vs De Kempen: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - VFV BVFV B - 12Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)KVK Wellen Sportcomplex, Wellen
The Footlab model makes Wellen the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for De Kempen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wellen vs De Kempen?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Wellen (1,733) and De Kempen (1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wellen have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; De Kempen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sint-Truiden II(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cappellen(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Berchem Sport(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Rupel Boom(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Tongeren(away) | 0-6 | Second Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Rotselaar(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Noordstar Noorderwijk(home) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Lommel II(home) | 4-0 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Turnhout(away) | 2-2 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Sint-Lenaarts(home) | 2-3 | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Wellen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 De Kempen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2022 | De Kempen 1-3 Wellen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Wellen 2-1 De Kempen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Wellen 1-1 De Kempen | Third Amateur Division - VFV B |
How many goals should we expect?
Wellen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; De Kempen score 2.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| De Kempen | 2.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wellen | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 37 | 56 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wellen vs De Kempen?
- The Footlab model makes Wellen the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for De Kempen.
- Where and when is Wellen vs De Kempen played?
- Wellen vs De Kempen is played on November 14, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at KVK Wellen Sportcomplex, in the Second Amateur Division - VFV B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.