Where and when is Tormenta vs Naples played?

Tormenta vs Naples is played on October 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Tormenta Stadium, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tormenta vs Naples: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Tormenta Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

Tormenta

Naples

The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Naples. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tormenta vs Naples?

Tormenta starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,740 vs 1,620).

Tormenta win65 %

Draw20 %

Naples win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tormenta have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Naples have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tormenta
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 3, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	0-0	USL League One
Oct 25, 2025	Texoma(home)	3-0	USL League One
Oct 18, 2025	Greenville Triumph(away)	4-1	USL League One
Oct 12, 2025	Spokane Velocity(away)	1-1	USL League One
Oct 3, 2025	Westchester SC(home)	3-1	USL League One

Naples
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Alta(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Westchester SC(away)	2-3	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Alta(home)	2-1	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-3	USL League One
Jul 11, 2026	Tampa Bay Rowdies(away)	0-2	USL League One Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tormenta win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Naples win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 7, 2025	Naples 2-1 Tormenta	USL League One
Jun 25, 2025	Tormenta 2-1 Naples	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Naples vs Tormenta on Aug 7, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Naples score 1.1 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tormenta	2.3	1.2	4	10/15	12/15
Naples	1.1	2.1	1	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Naples	21	7	2	12	25	35	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tormenta vs Naples?: The Footlab model makes Tormenta the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Naples.
Where and when is Tormenta vs Naples played?: Tormenta vs Naples is played on October 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Tormenta Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.