Tormenta vs Naples: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Tormenta Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia
The Footlab AI model makes Tormenta the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Naples. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tormenta wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tormenta vs Naples?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Tormenta (1,826) and Naples (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tormenta vs Naples
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tormenta
4-3-3- 22C. Doyle
- 10T. Gray
- 11J. Nyandjo
- 8Gabriel Cabral
- 19Y. Bazini
- 16M. Tunbridge
- 58O. Jimenez
- 23M. Rasheed
- 26J. Kasanzu
- 6C. Stretch
- 1A. Pack
Naples
4-3-3- 9R. Miglietti
- 45N. Likulia
- 7T. Gray
- 21Torrellas
- 6O. Ciss
- 8J. Osorio
- 4H. Uderitz
- 3J. Cisneros
- 20J. Yearwood
- 14K. O'Connor
- 1E. Delgado
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tormenta have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Naples have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2025 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 0-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Texoma(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 4-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Spokane Velocity(away) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Westchester SC(home) | 3-1 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Corpus Christi(away) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Richmond Kickers(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(home) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-2 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tormenta win, 0 draws, 1 Naples win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2025 | Naples 2-1 Tormenta | USL League One |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Tormenta 2-1 Naples | USL League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Tormenta score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Naples score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tormenta | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Naples | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 35 | 44 | 40 |
A question about Tormenta vs Naples?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tormenta vs Naples?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tormenta the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Naples.
- Where and when is Tormenta vs Naples played?
- Tormenta vs Naples is played on October 16, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Tormenta Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves