Torrijos vs Illescas: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Francisco, Torrijos
The Footlab AI model makes Torrijos the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Illescas. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torrijos vs Illescas?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Torrijos (1,746) and Illescas (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torrijos vs Illescas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torrijos
4-3-3- BBorja Escoredo
- AAlejandro Gálan
- JJony Lomas
- BBorja Blázquez
- ÁÁlvaro Antón
- ÁÁlex Cerrillo
- PPablo Murillo Dominguez
- JJosé Manuel García Jurado
- EEmilio Calvo
- ÁÁlvaro Juárez
- DDiego Pedraza
Illescas
Not enough data to predict the Illescas lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torrijos have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Illescas have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Noblejas(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Villarrubia(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | La Solana(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Noblejas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Villarrubia(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Quintanar del Rey(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torrijos wins, 2 draws, 1 Illescas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | Torrijos 2-1 Illescas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Illescas 1-0 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Jan 6, 2022 | Torrijos 2-0 Illescas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 5, 2021 | Illescas 1-1 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Feb 14, 2021 | Torrijos 1-0 Illescas | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 18, 2020 | Illescas 3-3 Torrijos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
How many goals should we expect?
Torrijos score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Illescas score 0.9 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 28% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrijos | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Illescas | 0.9 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torrijos sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (11 points from 5 matches) and Illescas sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illescas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 11 |
A question about Torrijos vs Illescas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torrijos vs Illescas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torrijos the favourite at 49%, against 32% for a draw and 19% for Illescas.
- Where and when is Torrijos vs Illescas played?
- Torrijos vs Illescas is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Francisco, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 28% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.