La Solana vs Marchamalo: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 18Group 18 - 32Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Moheda, La Solana
The Footlab AI model makes La Solana the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Marchamalo. The most likely score is 1-1. If La Solana wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,864 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Solana vs Marchamalo?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate La Solana (1,685) and Marchamalo (1,752).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for La Solana vs Marchamalo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
La Solana
Not enough data to predict the La Solana lineup.
Marchamalo
Not enough data to predict the Marchamalo lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 03:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Solana have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Marchamalo have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Torrijos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Illescas(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villarrobledo(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Toledo(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | San Clemente(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Socuéllamos(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Almansa(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tarancón(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Manchego(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guadalajara II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 La Solana win, 2 draws, 3 Marchamalo wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | La Solana 2-5 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Marchamalo 1-1 La Solana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Marchamalo 1-0 La Solana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | La Solana 0-3 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Marchamalo 0-0 La Solana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
| Nov 27, 2022 | La Solana 1-0 Marchamalo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 |
Last archived meeting: La Solana vs Marchamalo on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Solana score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Marchamalo score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Solana | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Marchamalo | 1.3 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
La Solana sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 (6 points from 7 matches) and Marchamalo sit 9th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Marchamalo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
| 14 | La Solana | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
A question about La Solana vs Marchamalo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Solana vs Marchamalo?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Solana the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Marchamalo.
- Where and when is La Solana vs Marchamalo played?
- La Solana vs Marchamalo is played on April 25, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Moheda, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.