TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela: prediction and stats
1st League - FBiHFBiH - 3Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Luke Tešanj, Tešanj
The Footlab model makes TOŠK Tešanj the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for GOŠK Gabela. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela?
A very open match: only 81 Elo points separate TOŠK Tešanj (1,329) and GOŠK Gabela (1,411).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOŠK Tešanj have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; GOŠK Gabela have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Radnik Hadžići(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zvijezda Gradačac(home) | 1-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Sloboda Tuzla(away) | 0-2 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 30, 2026 | Tomislav(home) | 3-3 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 24, 2026 | Travnik(away) | 1-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tomislav(away) | 3-0 | 1st League - FBiH |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Čelik(home) | 1-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 31, 2026 | Radnik Hadžići(away) | 3-2 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 24, 2026 | Tuzla City(home) | 4-1 | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 17, 2026 | TOŠK Tešanj(away) | 2-2 | 1st League - FBiH |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 TOŠK Tešanj win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 GOŠK Gabela win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | TOŠK Tešanj 2-2 GOŠK Gabela | 1st League - FBiH |
| Oct 25, 2025 | GOŠK Gabela 3-0 TOŠK Tešanj | 1st League - FBiH |
| May 27, 2023 | GOŠK Gabela 0-0 TOŠK Tešanj | 1st League - FBiH |
| Nov 13, 2022 | TOŠK Tešanj 1-2 GOŠK Gabela | 1st League - FBiH |
| Apr 16, 2022 | GOŠK Gabela 2-0 TOŠK Tešanj | 1st League - FBiH |
| Sep 26, 2021 | TOŠK Tešanj 0-2 GOŠK Gabela | 1st League - FBiH |
Last archived meeting: TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TOŠK Tešanj score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; GOŠK Gabela score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOŠK Tešanj | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| GOŠK Gabela | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOŠK Tešanj sit 6th in 1st League - FBiH (3 points from 2 matches) and GOŠK Gabela sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GOŠK Gabela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | TOŠK Tešanj | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela?
- The Footlab model makes TOŠK Tešanj the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for GOŠK Gabela.
- Where and when is TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela played?
- TOŠK Tešanj vs GOŠK Gabela is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Luke Tešanj, in the 1st League - FBiH.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.