Toulon vs Lyon Duchere: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 19Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Bon-Rencontre, Toulon
The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Lyon Duchere. The most likely score is 1-1. If Toulon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Toulon vs Lyon Duchere?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Toulon (1,803) and Lyon Duchere (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Toulon vs Lyon Duchere
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Toulon
Not enough data to predict the Toulon lineup.
Lyon Duchere
5-4-1- 9S. Bourouis-Belle
- 11E. Valey
- 7A. Etien
- 8Y. Martelat
- 10N. Dhib
- 6Y. Zouma
- 5R. Thunet
- 3M. Clavel
- 2M. Haon
- 4N. Ighbane
- 1E. Vita
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toulon have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Lyon Duchere have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Troyes II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Fréjus St-Raphaël(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andrézieux(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Nimes(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Saint-Priest(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Toulon wins, 1 draw, 5 Lyon Duchere wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lyon Duchere 3-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Lyon Duchere 3-1 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Toulon 1-2 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Feb 11, 2022 | Lyon Duchere 2-0 Toulon | National 2 - Group C |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Toulon 0-2 Lyon Duchere | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 13, 2019 | Toulon 1-1 Lyon Duchere | Ligue 3 |
Last archived meeting: Lyon Duchere vs Toulon on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Toulon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lyon Duchere score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lyon Duchere | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toulon sit 3rd in National 2 - Group C (11 points from 6 matches) and Lyon Duchere sit 16th (3 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toulon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 16 | Lyon Duchere | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 3 |
A question about Toulon vs Lyon Duchere?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Toulon vs Lyon Duchere?
- The Footlab AI model makes Toulon the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Lyon Duchere.
- Where and when is Toulon vs Lyon Duchere played?
- Toulon vs Lyon Duchere is played on March 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Bon-Rencontre, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.