TP Mazembe vs Malole: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 12Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 82%, against 14% for a draw and 4% for Malole. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TP Mazembe vs Malole?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,960 Elo points against 1,514, a 446-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Malole
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 38L. Ameka
- 37P. Mwamba
- 33A. Faty
Malole
Not enough data to predict the Malole lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Malole have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Céleste(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Sanga Balende(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Don Bosco(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tanganyika(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Saint-Luc(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | TP Mazembe(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 TP Mazembe wins, 1 draw, 0 Malole wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Malole 0-3 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TP Mazembe 2-0 Malole | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Malole 0-1 TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | TP Mazembe 1-1 Malole | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
TP Mazembe score 1.8 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Malole score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 26% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TP Mazembe | 1.8 | 0.5 | 10 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Malole | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TP Mazembe sit 1st in Ligue 1 (73 points from 30 matches) and Malole sit 11th (33 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TP Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 12 | 73 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 39 | 33 |
A question about TP Mazembe vs Malole?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Malole?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 82%, against 14% for a draw and 4% for Malole.
- Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Malole played?
- TP Mazembe vs Malole is played on December 16, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.