TPV vs PKKU: prediction and stats
YkkönenGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Tammelan Stadion (old), Tampere
The Footlab model makes TPV the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for PKKU. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TPV vs PKKU?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate TPV (1,517) and PKKU (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TPV have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; PKKU have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter Turku II(away) | 1-0 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tampere United(away) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SalPa(home) | 1-1 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | OLS(away) | 2-4 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rops(home) | 6-3 | Ykkönen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | JJK(home) | 2-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | KuPS Akatemia(away) | 2-2 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Inter Turku II(home) | 1-0 | Ykkönen |
| Aug 5, 2026 | VJS(away) | 0-0 | Ykkönen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tampere United(home) | 4-4 | Ykkönen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 TPV win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 PKKU win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | PKKU 2-2 TPV | Ykkönen |
| Sep 27, 2015 | PKKU 2-0 TPV | Kakkonen - Lohko B |
| Sep 1, 2015 | PKKU 0-1 TPV | Kakkonen - Lohko B |
| Aug 2, 2015 | TPV 0-1 PKKU | Kakkonen - Lohko B |
How many goals should we expect?
TPV score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; PKKU score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPV | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| PKKU | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TPV sit 9th in Ykkönen (24 points from 21 matches) and PKKU sit 4th (32 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | PKKU | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 30 | 32 |
| 6 | PKKU | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | TPV | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 24 |
| 11 | TPV | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TPV vs PKKU?
- The Footlab model makes TPV the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for PKKU.
- Where and when is TPV vs PKKU played?
- TPV vs PKKU is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Tammelan Stadion (old), in the Ykkönen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.