Tranmere vs Everton U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Prenton Park, Birkenhead, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Everton U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tranmere vs Everton U21?
Everton U21 starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tranmere have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Everton U21 have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Liverpool U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 3-6 | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 11, 2026 | Huddersfield Town U21(away) | 1-3 | Professional Development League |
| May 1, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 4-2 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tranmere win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Everton U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2024 | Tranmere 1-3 Everton U21 | EFL Trophy |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Tranmere 1-1 Everton U21 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Everton U21 on Aug 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tranmere score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Everton U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tranmere | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Everton U21 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tranmere sit 1st in EFL Trophy (8 points from 3 matches) and Everton U21 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranmere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tranmere vs Everton U21?
- The Footlab model makes Everton U21 the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Tranmere vs Everton U21 played?
- Tranmere vs Everton U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Prenton Park, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.