Stockport County vs Tranmere: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Edgeley Park, Stockport, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Tranmere. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stockport County vs Tranmere?
Stockport County starts as the favourite with a 289-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stockport County have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tranmere have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 6-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Preston(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-2 | League Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Blackpool(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Stockport County win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tranmere win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | Tranmere 1-3 Stockport County | FA Cup |
| Nov 12, 2024 | Stockport County 0-2 Tranmere | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Tranmere 4-0 Stockport County | League Two |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Stockport County 2-0 Tranmere | League Two |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Stockport County 3-2 Tranmere | League Two |
| Nov 1, 2022 | Tranmere 0-0 Stockport County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Tranmere vs Stockport County on Nov 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Stockport County score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tranmere score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stockport County | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Tranmere | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stockport County sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (5 points from 3 matches) and Tranmere sit 1st (8 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranmere | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Stockport County | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stockport County vs Tranmere?
- The Footlab model makes Stockport County the favourite at 73%, against 16% for a draw and 11% for Tranmere.
- Where and when is Stockport County vs Tranmere played?
- Stockport County vs Tranmere is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Edgeley Park, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.