Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Eugen Șoriceanu, Breaza
The Footlab model makes Tricolorul Breaza the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung?
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,482 vs 1,374).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tricolorul Breaza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; ARO Muscelul Câmpulung have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Corona Braşov(away) | 1-1 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Gilortul(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 8, 2026 | Inter Sibiu(away) | 3-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Păușești(home) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | ACS Mediaş 2022(away) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tricolorul Breaza win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Tricolorul Breaza 2-1 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 12, 2024 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 2-0 Tricolorul Breaza | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Nov 3, 2023 | ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 2-0 Tricolorul Breaza | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Tricolorul Breaza 2-0 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung on May 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tricolorul Breaza score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; ARO Muscelul Câmpulung score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricolorul Breaza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| ARO Muscelul Câmpulung | 2.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung?
- The Footlab model makes Tricolorul Breaza the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung.
- Where and when is Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung played?
- Tricolorul Breaza vs ARO Muscelul Câmpulung is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Eugen Șoriceanu, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.