Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 2Group 2 - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Eugen Șoriceanu, Breaza
The Footlab model makes Tricolorul Breaza the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Valenii de Munte. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Tricolorul Breaza (1,374) and Valenii de Munte (1,318).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tricolorul Breaza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Valenii de Munte have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Pucioasa(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Înainte Modelu(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 16, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 9, 2026 | Agricola Borcea(away) | 0-6 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 1, 2026 | Dunarea Calarasi(home) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Berca(away) | 2-5 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Kids Tâmpa Braşov(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | Progresul Mogosoaia(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| May 2, 2026 | Săcele(away) | 2-7 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Baicoi(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tricolorul Breaza win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Valenii de Munte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Tricolorul Breaza 1-1 Valenii de Munte | Liga III - Serie 4 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Valenii de Munte 1-1 Tricolorul Breaza | Liga III - Serie 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tricolorul Breaza score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Valenii de Munte score 1.3 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tricolorul Breaza | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Valenii de Munte | 1.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte?
- The Footlab model makes Tricolorul Breaza the favourite at 70%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Valenii de Munte.
- Where and when is Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte played?
- Tricolorul Breaza vs Valenii de Munte is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Eugen Șoriceanu, in the Liga III - Serie 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.