Triestina vs Mestre: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 9Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Triestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mestre wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Triestina vs Mestre?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Triestina (1,583) and Mestre (1,676).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Triestina vs Mestre
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Triestina
4-3-3- 27A. Faggioli
- 9E. Vertainen
- 43O. Gningue
- 15I. Voca
- 17K. Jónsson
- 16J. Vicario
- 14M. Anzolin
- 23T. Silvestri
- 20H. Davis
- 5S. Kosijer
- 1K. Matošević
Mestre
Not enough data to predict the Mestre lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triestina have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Mestre have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | LME(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Obermais(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Conegliano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Schio(home) | 0-2 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Campodarsego(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | FC Obermais(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Altavilla(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Triestina wins, 1 draw, 1 Mestre win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | Triestina 0-0 Mestre | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Mestre 2-1 Triestina | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Triestina score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mestre score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triestina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mestre | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Triestina sit 14th in Serie D - Girone C (6 points from 6 matches) and Mestre sit 4th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mestre | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 | Triestina | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
A question about Triestina vs Mestre?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Triestina vs Mestre?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mestre the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Triestina.
- Where and when is Triestina vs Mestre played?
- Triestina vs Mestre is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nereo Rocco, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.