Trofense vs Varzim: result 5-1 and analysis
Taça de Portugal1/128-finalsKick-off on August 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
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What was the result of Trofense vs Varzim?
Trofense won 5-1 on August 30, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Varzim have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Paredes(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | SC Braga B(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | São João Ver(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| May 4, 2025 | SC Braga B(home) | 0-2 | Liga 3 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Sanjoanense(away) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | SC Braga B(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 16, 2025 | São João Ver(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Amarante(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2025 | Fafe(home) | 5-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trofense wins, 1 draw, 1 Varzim win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Varzim 2-1 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Trofense 3-2 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Varzim 1-2 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Trofense 0-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Trofense 1-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Varzim 1-3 Trofense | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 0.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Varzim | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Trofense vs Varzim?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy