Trollhättan vs Tvååker: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 24Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Edsborgs IP, Trollhättan
The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Trollhättan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Trollhättan vs Tvååker?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Trollhättan (1,538) and Tvååker (1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trollhättan have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Tvååker have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Trelleborg(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Angelholms FF(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Laholm(home) | 0-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Laholm(away) | 1-0 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Trollhättan win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Tvååker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Tvååker 1-1 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Tvååker 1-1 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Trollhättan 1-3 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Tvååker 0-3 Trollhättan | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 26, 2023 | Trollhättan 3-4 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Trollhättan 1-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
Last archived meeting: Tvååker vs Trollhättan on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Trollhättan score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tvååker score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trollhättan | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Tvååker | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trollhättan sit 11th in Ettan - Södra (22 points from 18 matches) and Tvååker sit 7th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tvååker | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
| 11 | Trollhättan | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Trollhättan vs Tvååker?
- The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Trollhättan.
- Where and when is Trollhättan vs Tvååker played?
- Trollhättan vs Tvååker is played on September 26, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Edsborgs IP, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.