Troon FC vs Cumnock Juniors: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Cumnock Juniors. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troon FC vs Cumnock Juniors?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Troon FC (1,610) and Cumnock Juniors (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Troon FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Cumnock Juniors have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Largs Thistle(home) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caledonian Braves(away) | 3-6 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Beith(away) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Cumnock Juniors score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Cumnock Juniors | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troon FC sit 13th in Football League - Lowland League (9 points from 6 matches) and Cumnock Juniors sit 21st (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 21 | Cumnock Juniors | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troon FC vs Cumnock Juniors?
- The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Cumnock Juniors.
- Where and when is Troon FC vs Cumnock Juniors played?
- Troon FC vs Cumnock Juniors is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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