Troon FC vs Largs Thistle: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Troon FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troon FC vs Largs Thistle?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Troon FC (1,610) and Largs Thistle (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Troon FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Largs Thistle have 4, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kilwinning Rangers(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Cumnock Juniors(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Auchinleck Talbot(home) | 3-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dalbeattie Star(home) | 1-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Albion Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Largs Thistle score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Largs Thistle | 1.5 | 0.5 | 4 | 1/6 | 1/6 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troon FC sit 13th in Football League - Lowland League (9 points from 6 matches) and Largs Thistle sit 8th (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Largs Thistle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troon FC vs Largs Thistle?
- The Footlab model makes Largs Thistle the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Troon FC.
- Where and when is Troon FC vs Largs Thistle played?
- Troon FC vs Largs Thistle is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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