Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Rosières-près-Troyes
The Footlab model makes Troyes II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Chasselay MDA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Troyes II (1,776) and Chasselay MDA (1,746).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troyes II have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chasselay MDA have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Istres(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Besançon(away) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| May 9, 2026 | Mulhouse(home) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Torcy(away) | 1-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Thonon Évian(home) | 2-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Istres(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 1, 2026 | Cannes(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Troyes II score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Chasselay MDA score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troyes II | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Chasselay MDA | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troyes II sit 12th in National 2 - Group C (1 points from 1 matches) and Chasselay MDA sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Chasselay MDA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Troyes II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA?
- The Footlab model makes Troyes II the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Chasselay MDA.
- Where and when is Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA played?
- Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.