Match

Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group CGroup C - 7Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Rosières-près-Troyes

Troyes IIChasselay MDA

The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Chasselay MDA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Troyes II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,526 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Troyes II (1,810) and Chasselay MDA (1,820).

43%27%30%
Troyes II winDrawChasselay MDA win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Troyes II

4-3-3
  1. 3A. Ouzenadji
  2. 9E. Misse
  3. 7W. Pierrilus
  1. 8S. Diarra
  2. 11A. Moembo
  3. 6A. Diallo
  1. 10M. Evangelisti
  2. 5N. Deheppe
  3. 2N. Donkor
  4. 11F. Ondoa Onambele
  1. 1A. Touré

Chasselay MDA

Not enough data to predict the Chasselay MDA lineup.

Computed on October 17, 2026 at 11:40 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troyes II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chasselay MDA have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Troyes II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Toulon(away)0-1National 2 - Group C
Sep 19, 2026Andrézieux(home)3-2National 2 - Group C
Sep 12, 2026Nimes(away)0-4National 2 - Group C
Sep 5, 2026Saint-Priest(home)3-1National 2 - Group C
Aug 29, 2026Rumilly Vallières(away)0-3National 2 - Group C
Chasselay MDA
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Lyon Duchere(home)2-0National 2 - Group C
Sep 19, 2026Fréjus St-Raphaël(away)4-2National 2 - Group C
Sep 12, 2026Canet Roussillon(home)2-2National 2 - Group C
Sep 5, 2026Bourges Foot 18(away)0-0National 2 - Group C
Aug 22, 2026Toulon(home)1-1National 2 - Group C

How many goals should we expect?

Troyes II score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chasselay MDA score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Troyes II2.01.639/1513/15
Chasselay MDA1.41.3410/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Troyes II sit 10th in National 2 - Group C (7 points from 6 matches) and Chasselay MDA sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Chasselay MDA5230959
10Troyes II62136117

A question about Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA?
The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Chasselay MDA.
Where and when is Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA played?
Troyes II vs Chasselay MDA is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, in the National 2 - Group C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Troyes II and Chasselay MDA

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