Match

Troyes II vs Chateauroux: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group CGroup C - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Rosières-près-Troyes

Troyes IIChateauroux

The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Chateauroux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Troyes II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Troyes II vs Chateauroux?

On Elo ratings, Troyes II has 1,798 points and Chateauroux 1,722.

52%26%22%
Troyes II winDrawChateauroux win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Troyes II vs Chateauroux

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Troyes II

4-3-3
  1. 9E. Misse
  2. 7W. Pierrilus
  3. 7A. Diakité
  1. 8S. Diarra
  2. 11A. Moembo
  3. 6A. Diallo
  1. 10M. Evangelisti
  2. 3A. Ouzenadji
  3. 5N. Deheppe
  4. 2N. Donkor
  1. 1A. Touré

Chateauroux

4-3-3
  1. 12J. Koembo
  2. 19L. Piquionne
  3. 27W. Boussaid
  1. 5P. Wade
  2. 21Y. Chahid
  3. 10R. Freitas
  1. 39M. Beneddine
  2. 6G. Kelo
  3. 4D. Diarra
  4. 28S. Mopila
  1. 16L. Lavallée

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troyes II have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chateauroux have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Troyes II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 3, 2026Toulon(away)0-1National 2 - Group C
Sep 19, 2026Andrézieux(home)3-2National 2 - Group C
Sep 12, 2026Nimes(away)0-4National 2 - Group C
Sep 5, 2026Saint-Priest(home)3-1National 2 - Group C
Aug 29, 2026Rumilly Vallières(away)0-3National 2 - Group C
Chateauroux
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Istres(away)0-0National 2 - Group C
Sep 11, 2026Limonest(home)0-1National 2 - Group C
Sep 5, 2026UF Touraine(away)1-1National 2 - Group C
Aug 28, 2026Hyères(home)0-1National 2 - Group C
Aug 22, 2026Hauts Lyonnais(away)0-0National 2 - Group C

How many goals should we expect?

Troyes II score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chateauroux score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Troyes II2.01.639/1513/15
Chateauroux0.91.527/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Troyes II sit 10th in National 2 - Group C (7 points from 6 matches) and Chateauroux sit 15th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Troyes II62136117
15Chateauroux5032133

A question about Troyes II vs Chateauroux?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Troyes II vs Chateauroux?
The Footlab AI model makes Troyes II the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Chateauroux.
Where and when is Troyes II vs Chateauroux played?
Troyes II vs Chateauroux is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, in the National 2 - Group C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Troyes II and Chateauroux

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