Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab model makes Rumilly Vallières the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,711) and Rumilly Vallières (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Rumilly Vallières have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lyon Duchere(away) | 7-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Creteil(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Grasse(away) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Bobigny(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fréjus St-Raphaël win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Rumilly Vallières win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières 1-3 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-3 Rumilly Vallières | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 3-1 Rumilly Vallières | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Rumilly Vallières 1-0 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Rumilly Vallières 2-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-0 Rumilly Vallières | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Rumilly Vallières vs Fréjus St-Raphaël on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Rumilly Vallières score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Rumilly Vallières | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 1 matches) and Rumilly Vallières sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rumilly Vallières | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières?
- The Footlab model makes Rumilly Vallières the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.