Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab AI model makes Rumilly Vallières the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Fréjus St-Raphaël. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rumilly Vallières wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,773) and Rumilly Vallières (1,863).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Rumilly Vallières
Not enough data to predict the Rumilly Vallières lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:47 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Rumilly Vallières have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(home) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Chateauroux(away) | 7-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Limonest(home) | 4-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | UF Touraine(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hyères(home) | 0-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Hauts Lyonnais(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fréjus St-Raphaël wins, 0 draws, 3 Rumilly Vallières wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rumilly Vallières 1-3 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-3 Rumilly Vallières | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 3-1 Rumilly Vallières | National 2 - Group A |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Rumilly Vallières 1-0 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Rumilly Vallières 2-1 Fréjus St-Raphaël | National 2 - Group C |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Fréjus St-Raphaël 1-0 Rumilly Vallières | National 2 - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Rumilly Vallières vs Fréjus St-Raphaël on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rumilly Vallières score 2.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Rumilly Vallières | 2.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 6th in National 2 - Group C (12 points from 7 matches) and Rumilly Vallières sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rumilly Vallières | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 12 |
| 6 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
A question about Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rumilly Vallières the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Fréjus St-Raphaël.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Rumilly Vallières is played on May 22, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.