Tusker vs Sofapaka: result 3-1 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 14, 2024 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Kenyatta Stadium, Machakos
Full time
What was the result of Tusker vs Sofapaka?
Tusker won 3-1 on January 14, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 60′?Tusker
- 62′123665Tusker
- 72′?Sofapaka
- 74′?Tusker
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Sofapaka have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | KCB(away) | 5-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Police(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 17, 2023 | Nzoia Sugar(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 13, 2023 | Bidco United(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | Bidco United(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Muhoroni Youth(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Shabana(away) | 1-4 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Nzoia Sugar(away) | 3-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tusker win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sofapaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Sofapaka 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 9, 2023 | Tusker 2-0 Sofapaka | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Sofapaka 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Sofapaka 0-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Tusker 0-0 Sofapaka | FKF Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Sofapaka 1-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 1.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sofapaka score 1.1 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 1.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sofapaka | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 9th in FKF Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Sofapaka sit 18th (19 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19 | 51 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy