Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: result 1-0 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueMatchday 12Kick-off on December 5, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Police Sacco Stadium, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Tusker won 1-0 on December 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 32′621769Tusker (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | GOR Mahia(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Bandari(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Sofapaka(away) | 3-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Shabana(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tusker wins, 2 draws, 1 Ulinzi Stars win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Tusker 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Tusker 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2023 | Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | Shield Cup |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Ulinzi Stars 2-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 11th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy