Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: result 1-0 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 5, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Police Sacco Stadium, Nairobi
Full time
What was the result of Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Tusker won 1-0 on December 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 32′621769Tusker (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | GOR Mahia(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Bandari(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2025 | Sofapaka(away) | 3-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2025 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Shabana(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | GOR Mahia(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tusker win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Ulinzi Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Tusker 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Tusker 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2023 | Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | Shield Cup |
| Mar 16, 2023 | Ulinzi Stars 2-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 9th in FKF Premier League (45 points from 34 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 13th (41 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 37 | 41 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy