Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 3,886 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 30, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
AFC Leopards starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,595 vs 1,469).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Computed on October 30, 2026 at 12:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Leopards have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Tusker(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Posta Rangers FC(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Shabana(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win, 1 draw, 4 AFC Leopards wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 0-2 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2025 | AFC Leopards 2-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | AFC Leopards 0-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 2-0 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 AFC Leopards | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2024 | AFC Leopards 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Leopards score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| AFC Leopards | 1.0 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulinzi Stars sit 17th in FKF Premier League (2 points from 4 matches) and AFC Leopards sit 5th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AFC Leopards | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Ulinzi Stars | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
A question about Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 46%, against 32% for a draw and 22% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards played?
- Ulinzi Stars vs AFC Leopards is played on November 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Afraha Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.