Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi
The Footlab AI model makes Tusker the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Ulinzi Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,396 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Tusker (1,553) and Ulinzi Stars (1,482).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tusker
Not enough data to predict the Tusker lineup.
Ulinzi Stars
Not enough data to predict the Ulinzi Stars lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Ulinzi Stars have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 3-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Mathare United(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 1-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Mathare United(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tusker wins, 1 draw, 1 Ulinzi Stars win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 0-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| May 27, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 2-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Ulinzi Stars 1-2 Tusker | Shield Cup |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Tusker 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ulinzi Stars score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 1.0 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tusker sit 11th in FKF Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and Ulinzi Stars sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tusker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tusker the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Ulinzi Stars.
- Where and when is Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars played?
- Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ruaraka Stadium, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.