Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mbaraki Sports Club, Mombasa
The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Mombasa Elite. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,899 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards?
AFC Leopards starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,583 vs 1,393).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mombasa Elite
Not enough data to predict the Mombasa Elite lineup.
AFC Leopards
Not enough data to predict the AFC Leopards lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:39 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mombasa Elite have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; AFC Leopards have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Mara Sugar(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Naivas(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Nzoia Sugar(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Kenya Police(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bandari(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 31, 2026 | Bidco United(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 24, 2026 | APS Bomet(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 16, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mombasa Elite score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Leopards score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mombasa Elite | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| AFC Leopards | 1.4 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mombasa Elite sit 17th in FKF Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and AFC Leopards sit 13th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | AFC Leopards | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Mombasa Elite | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards?
- The Footlab AI model makes AFC Leopards the favourite at 44%, against 32% for a draw and 24% for Mombasa Elite.
- Where and when is Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards played?
- Mombasa Elite vs AFC Leopards is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mbaraki Sports Club, in the FKF Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.