Twente / Heracles U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 4Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC)FC Twente-trainingscentrum TC veld 1, Hengelo
The Footlab model makes Twente / Heracles U21 the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for PEC Zwolle U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Twente / Heracles U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Twente / Heracles U21 (1,735) and PEC Zwolle U21 (1,647).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Twente / Heracles U21 have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; PEC Zwolle U21 have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Willem II U21(away) | 2-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sittard U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Cambuur U21(home) | 4-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Feyenoord U21(away) | 1-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Groningen U21(home) | 7-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 6, 2025 | De Graafschap U21(away) | 0-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21(home) | 5-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Feyenoord U21(home) | 4-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Willem II U21(away) | 0-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Twente / Heracles U21 win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 PEC Zwolle U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | PEC Zwolle U21 5-2 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21 0-1 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 24, 2025 | PEC Zwolle U21 1-1 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Twente / Heracles U21 0-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 30, 2024 | Twente / Heracles U21 2-0 PEC Zwolle U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Feb 3, 2024 | PEC Zwolle U21 1-1 Twente / Heracles U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: PEC Zwolle U21 vs Twente / Heracles U21 on Dec 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Twente / Heracles U21 score 3.0 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; PEC Zwolle U21 score 1.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente / Heracles U21 | 3.0 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| PEC Zwolle U21 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Twente / Heracles U21 sit 5th in U21 Divisie 1 (22 points from 14 matches) and PEC Zwolle U21 sit 7th (15 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Twente / Heracles U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 38 | 32 | 22 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle U21 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 22 | 33 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Twente / Heracles U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21?
- The Footlab model makes Twente / Heracles U21 the favourite at 61%, against 18% for a draw and 21% for PEC Zwolle U21.
- Where and when is Twente / Heracles U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 played?
- Twente / Heracles U21 vs PEC Zwolle U21 is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:30 AM (UTC) at FC Twente-trainingscentrum TC veld 1, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.