Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21: prediction and stats
U21 Divisie 1Fall Season - 4Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Cambuur Stadion, Leeuwarden
The Footlab model makes Cambuur U21 the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Groningen U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Cambuur U21 (1,717) and Groningen U21 (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cambuur U21 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Groningen U21 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(away) | 3-5 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 2-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 9, 2026 | Twente / Heracles U21(away) | 2-4 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Sittard U21(home) | 5-0 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Groningen U21(away) | 1-3 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(away) | 2-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam II(home) | 1-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | De Graafschap U21(home) | 3-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 30, 2026 | Sittard U21(away) | 2-2 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 16, 2026 | ADO Den Haag II(home) | 4-1 | U21 Divisie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cambuur U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Groningen U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Groningen U21 3-1 Cambuur U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Cambuur U21 4-1 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Cambuur U21 0-3 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Groningen U21 2-1 Cambuur U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| May 3, 2025 | Cambuur U21 3-0 Groningen U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Groningen U21 0-2 Cambuur U21 | U21 Divisie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Groningen U21 vs Cambuur U21 on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cambuur U21 score 2.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Groningen U21 score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur U21 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Groningen U21 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cambuur U21 sit 3rd in U21 Divisie 1 (22 points from 14 matches) and Groningen U21 sit 1st (34 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Groningen U21 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Cambuur U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21?
- The Footlab model makes Cambuur U21 the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Groningen U21.
- Where and when is Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21 played?
- Cambuur U21 vs Groningen U21 is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Cambuur Stadion, in the U21 Divisie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.