Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Beitar Nahariya: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Nahariya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Beitar Nahariya?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657) and Beitar Nahariya (1,656).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Beitar Nahariya have 9, 0 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil(home) | 4-0 | State Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Dimona(home) | 1-6 | State Cup |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home) | 1-0 | State Cup |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(home) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Sep 13, 2023 | Ahli Tamra(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Nahariya score 2.2 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Beitar Nahariya | 2.2 | 2.4 | 6 | 7/14 | 10/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Beitar Nahariya?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Nahariya.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Beitar Nahariya played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Beitar Nahariya is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Mar 13, 2027Ironi NeshervsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Mar 13, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTira
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Mar 13, 2027Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik