Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 29Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, Hadera
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (1,694) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tira(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus(home) | 2-3 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(home) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 2-0 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek on Nov 7, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek score 1.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 1.8 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel sit 5th in Liga Alef (33 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek sit 8th (31 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 23 | 33 |
| 8 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 23 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Migdal HaEmek the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Ironi Karmiel.
- Where and when is Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek played?
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Hadera Synthetic Training Complex, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Umm al-FahmvsHapoel Bnei Musmus
- Mar 13, 2027Ironi NeshervsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Mar 13, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsTira
- Mar 13, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsHapoel Ironi Arraba
- Mar 13, 2027Tzeirey TamravsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Mar 13, 2027Tzeirei Umm al-FahmvsBeitar Nahariya