UCV vs Arroceros Calabozo: result 1-3 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónApertura - 3Kick-off on September 1, 2012 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de la UCV, Caracas
Full time
What was the result of UCV vs Arroceros Calabozo?
Arroceros Calabozo won 1-3 on September 1, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCV have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Arroceros Calabozo have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2012 | Monagas II(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 18, 2012 | Angostura FC(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| May 26, 2012 | Gran Valencia(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| May 20, 2012 | Portuguesa FC(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| May 12, 2012 | Deportivo San Antonio(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2012 | Caracas FC B(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Aug 18, 2012 | AC Mineros B(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Caracas FC B(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 11, 2011 | Gran Valencia(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Deportivo Lara II(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
UCV score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Arroceros Calabozo score 1.5 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Arroceros Calabozo | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 1, 2012AC Mineros B0-0Tucanes FC
- Sep 1, 2012Guatire2-2Angostura FC
- Sep 1, 2012Carabobo FC1-2Gran Valencia
- Sep 1, 2012Policia De Lara2-0ULA FC
- Sep 2, 2012Real Anzoátegui4-2Monagas II
- Sep 2, 2012Caracas FC B1-1Estrella Roja
- Sep 2, 2012Deportivo Táchira II1-2Deportivo San Antonio
- Sep 2, 2012Metropolitanos FC0-0Zamora FC B