UD Logroñés II vs Castellón II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mundial 82, Logroño
The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés II the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Castellón II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UD Logroñés II vs Castellón II?
UD Logroñés II starts as the favourite with a 243-point Elo edge (2,052 vs 1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés II have 14 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Castellón II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Peña Balsamaiso(away) | 5-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| May 3, 2026 | Autol(home) | 8-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Berceo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Yagüe(away) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Oyonesa(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SD Logroñés(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SD Logroñés(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Girona II(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Barbastro(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
UD Logroñés II score 4.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Castellón II score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UD Logroñés II | 4.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Castellón II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés II vs Castellón II?
- The Footlab model makes UD Logroñés II the favourite at 67%, against 21% for a draw and 12% for Castellón II.
- Where and when is UD Logroñés II vs Castellón II played?
- UD Logroñés II vs Castellón II is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mundial 82, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.