Utebo vs Barbastro: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santa Ana, Utebo
The Footlab model makes Utebo the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Barbastro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Utebo vs Barbastro?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Utebo (1,909) and Barbastro (1,897).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Utebo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Barbastro have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | Águilas(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sestao River(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ebro(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Huesca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlètic Lleida(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sant Andreu(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Castellón II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Utebo win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Barbastro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Barbastro 0-0 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Utebo 5-2 Barbastro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Utebo 1-0 Barbastro | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Barbastro 1-1 Utebo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Utebo 2-1 Barbastro | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Barbastro 0-0 Utebo | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Utebo score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Barbastro score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utebo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Barbastro | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Utebo | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 42 | 58 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Utebo vs Barbastro?
- The Footlab model makes Utebo the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Barbastro.
- Where and when is Utebo vs Barbastro played?
- Utebo vs Barbastro is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Santa Ana, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.