Uganda vs Congo: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Africa3rd Round - 2Kick-off on November 12, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Hamz Stadium, Kampala
Full time
What was the result of Uganda vs Congo?
Uganda won 1-0 on November 12, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 18′F. MiyaUganda
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uganda have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Congo have 6, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2016 | Ghana(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 27, 2016 | Zimbabwe(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Zambia(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Mali(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Rwanda(home) | 1-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Egypt(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Ethiopia(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Ethiopia(away) | 4-3 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 31, 2015 | Cameroon(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Cameroon(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Uganda score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Congo score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda | 1.3 | 0.6 | 10 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Congo | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/14 | 7/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uganda sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification Africa (18 points from 10 matches) and Congo sit 5th (1 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Uganda | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Congo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy