Ujpest vs Paks: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest
The Footlab AI model makes Ujpest the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Paks. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ujpest wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ujpest vs Paks?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Ujpest (1,821) and Paks (1,874).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ujpest vs Paks
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ujpest
4-2-3-1- 26M. Tijani
- 14E. Amenyido
- 88M. Ljujić
- 11K. Horváth
- 17A. Matko
- 10A. Maier
- 94P. Stronati
- 3Heitor
- 20M. Zeke
- 36Ferenc Ujvary
- 1P. Szappanos
Paks
5-4-1- 7J. Szalai
- 21K. Papp
- 10Z. Haraszti
- 8B. Balogh
- 22J. Windecker
- 30J. Szabó
- 14E. Silye
- 24B. Lenzsér
- 15C. Belényesi
- 5B. Vécsei
- 28M. Gyetván
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ujpest have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Paks have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budapest Honved(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 2-1 | NB I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dorogi FC(away) | 2-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ferencvarosi TC(away) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ujpest win, 2 draws, 3 Paks wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Paks 2-0 Ujpest | NB I |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Ujpest 0-0 Paks | NB I |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Paks 1-3 Ujpest | NB I |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Ujpest 1-2 Paks | NB I |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Paks 6-1 Ujpest | NB I |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Ujpest 0-0 Paks | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Ujpest score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Paks score 2.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ujpest | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Paks | 2.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ujpest sit 4th in NB I (15 points from 9 matches) and Paks sit 5th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Ujpest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 5 | Paks | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 14 |
A question about Ujpest vs Paks?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ujpest vs Paks?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ujpest the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Paks.
- Where and when is Ujpest vs Paks played?
- Ujpest vs Paks is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Szusza Ferenc Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.